... to the engineering team in charge of a facility de- sign. The engineering team, however, expects pre- dictions (time, place, magnitude and probability of an event), while most geoscientists can only offer an improved forecast (general statement of future pos- sibilities). Geological interpretation relies upon...

... instability, exacerbated in the past by excess pore pressures generated by relatively rapid sediment accumulation. Earthquake-induced slope displacements calculated using the Newmark method were mapped to a pseudostatic safety factor to facilitate area-wide characterisation of slope failure probability...

... assessment of slope stability is to use iterative Monte Carlo simulations (e.g. Hammond et al., 1992; Haneberg, 2004b, 2006, 2008; Zhou et al., 2003; Gorsevski et al., 2006). In Monte Carlo simu- lations, input variables are sampled from specified probability distributions (either theoretical probabil- ity...

... integration to obtain probability of failure after Langen et al.6 Figure 12: Confidence level integration to obtain probability of failure after Langen et al.6 determine the probability of failure for any particular foun- dation. Therefore the selected resistance factor, in load and resistance factor...